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Public Policy Polling Adds Johnson & Stein

9/6/2016

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Here's the goods. This time, in Pennsylvania, Gary Johnson gets 6% and Jill Stein 3%.

I don't expect a huge amount of consistency among polls in different states, even neighboring states like Pennsylvania and New Jersey. But the polls we have seen thus far show a great degree of consistency on several questions:
  1. Who does better against Trump: Clinton or Sanders?
  2. How do the number in a two-way contest compare with a four-way?
  3. How bell-shaped is the ideological curve of the respondents? (The bulk of respondents self-identify as Moderate, with fewer as Somewhat Liberal or Conservative, and even fewer as Very Liberal or Conservative. This is hard for a Libertarian to answer if those are all the choices.)

Stein's 3% is reduced to 1% in a four-way race with Sanders, Trump, and Johnson.

Here is the question on which all the media coverage should focus, however:
Picture
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